Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 63.851535 72.340196 81.058172 90.648147 100.869262 111.407401 123.063787
2025-06-22 51.582336 63.802211 76.953815 92.025400 108.691521 126.440547 146.657591
2025-06-29 42.981977 57.037277 72.723989 91.249546 112.270297 135.149557 161.710159
2025-07-06 35.589757 50.626116 68.004121 89.101467 113.592387 140.750110 172.780980
2025-07-13 32.616457 48.982260 68.406496 92.469742 120.859580 152.749774 190.768676
2025-07-20 29.499312 46.783584 67.841868 94.436705 126.288643 162.490727 206.067702
2025-07-27 25.754258 43.402500 65.525945 94.038660 128.719264 168.605970 217.079236
2025-08-03 22.359107 40.140686 63.086247 93.253272 130.492664 173.801358 226.900864
2025-08-10 19.954879 37.985791 61.870642 93.824797 133.772477 180.667542 238.587922
2025-08-17 17.382148 35.338631 59.817836 93.178900 135.437040 185.521077 247.840664
2025-08-24 15.427794 33.398018 58.559592 93.427584 138.109688 191.508684 258.378026
2025-08-31 13.287593 30.951090 56.445795 92.429852 139.121743 195.417203 266.387215
2025-09-07 12.061726 29.850698 56.162749 93.837053 143.192501 203.097908 278.998607
2025-09-14 10.983263 28.882713 55.999967 95.361486 147.392062 210.936285 291.819494
2025-09-21 9.398665 26.864500 54.185094 94.550252 148.520048 214.947007 299.986698
2025-09-28 7.670427 24.345988 51.461550 92.359981 147.759618 216.545143 305.169209
2025-10-05 7.390569 24.510571 52.791835 95.798524 154.349897 227.293754 321.505396
2025-10-12 6.826864 24.052505 53.121275 97.806387 159.047955 235.677969 334.964102
2025-10-19 5.836007 22.591468 51.792332 97.400097 160.509671 239.974310 343.398229
2025-10-26 4.886088 21.053231 50.239829 96.598426 161.390057 243.499942 350.858336
2025-11-02 4.271214 20.156448 49.672293 97.181807 164.099268 249.324911 361.148963
2025-11-09 3.536519 18.827449 48.299598 96.522509 165.086316 252.929817 368.671804
2025-11-16 3.012984 17.913853 47.571506 96.776357 167.286463 258.068074 378.092043